Has chance been the main factor in important medical discoveries?
Explain your answer with reference to chance and other factors. Use a range of examples from across your study of Health and the people: c1000 to the present day.
[16 marks] [SPaG 4 marks]
Model answer
Chance has played a part in several famous medical discoveries, but it has rarely been enough on its own. In most cases chance only mattered because a skilled individual recognised what had happened, and many of the most important discoveries involved no chance at all.
There are clear examples of chance. In 1536-37 the army surgeon Ambroise Paré ran out of the boiling oil normally used to treat gunshot wounds and used an ointment of egg yolk, oil of roses and turpentine instead; the next morning these patients were in far less pain. In 1847 James Simpson discovered the anaesthetic effect of chloroform when he and his friends tried inhaling chemicals after dinner. In 1895 Wilhelm Röntgen discovered X-rays by accident while experimenting with cathode-ray tubes, and in 1928 Alexander Fleming noticed that a mould growing on a culture plate left out while he was on holiday had killed the bacteria around it. Pasteur's team also discovered by chance that an old culture of chicken cholera protected chickens from the disease, which led to new vaccines.
However, the role of the individual was more important even in these cases. Pasteur himself said that 'chance favours only the prepared mind'. Paré was an experienced surgeon who noticed the difference between his patients and had the courage to abandon a method recommended by authorities. Fleming was a trained bacteriologist who understood what he was seeing. Many other discoveries came entirely from careful work. William Harvey proved the circulation of the blood in 1628 through dissections, experiments and calculations. Edward Jenner tested his theory that cowpox protected against smallpox on James Phipps in 1796. John Snow investigated the Broad Street outbreak of 1854 methodically, and Robert Koch identified the bacteria causing tuberculosis and cholera through years of laboratory work.
Science and technology were also essential. The microscope allowed Malpighi to see the capillaries in 1661, completing Harvey's theory, and improved microscopes made germ theory possible in the 19th century. The structure of DNA was discovered in 1953 by Francis Crick and James Watson using Rosalind Franklin's X-ray images, and modern scanners have transformed our knowledge of the body.
Other factors turned chance discoveries into real progress. Fleming's penicillin was useless to patients until Howard Florey and Ernst Chain purified it in 1940-41, and the Second World War led the American government to pay for mass production in time for D-Day in 1944. Communication, through printed books, the Royal Society and medical journals, made sure that discoveries were shared, and government funding of research and the NHS helped new treatments reach patients.
Overall, chance has not been the main factor in important medical discoveries. It provided the spark for a few breakthroughs, but these only happened because prepared individuals recognised their importance, and they only helped patients when science, technology, teamwork, war and government developed them further. The role of the individual, supported by science and technology, has been far more important.
Explanation
Chance played a part in discoveries by Paré, Simpson, Röntgen, Pasteur and Fleming, but prepared individuals, technology and later development were needed to make them matter. Level 4 needs a sustained judgement with examples from across the whole period.