Question 1
3 marksThe number of red squirrels on an island is modelled by the differential equation
\[\dfrac{dP}{dt} = 0.4P\left(1 - \dfrac{P}{500}\right)\]
where \(P\) is the number of squirrels \(t\) years after the start of a conservation project.
Without solving the differential equation, find the number of squirrels for which, according to the model, the population is increasing most rapidly, and find this greatest rate of increase.
Model answer
\(\dfrac{dP}{dt} = 0.4P - 0.0008P^2\)
\(\dfrac{d}{dP}\left(0.4P - 0.0008P^2\right) = 0.4 - 0.0016P = 0 \Rightarrow P = 250\)
This is a maximum because the coefficient of \(P^2\) is negative.
Greatest rate \(= 0.4 \times 250 \times \left(1 - \dfrac{250}{500}\right) = 50\) squirrels per year
Explanation
The rate of increase \(\dfrac{dP}{dt} = 0.4P - 0.0008P^2\) is a quadratic in \(P\) with a negative \(P^2\) term, so it is greatest halfway between its roots \(P = 0\) and \(P = 500\). At \(P = 250\) the rate is \(0.4 \times 250 \times 0.5 = 50\) squirrels per year. Common errors are differentiating with respect to \(t\) and giving the long-term population, 500, instead.
Mark scheme
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1 mark
M1 Treats \(\dfrac{dP}{dt} = 0.4P - 0.0008P^2\) as a quadratic function of \(P\) and finds where it is greatest: differentiates with respect to \(P\) and sets the result equal to 0, or completes the square, or uses the midpoint of the roots \(P = 0\) and \(P = 500\); or correct answers \(P = 250\) and 50 squirrels per year with no working (3 marks)
An answer of \(P = 250\) and 50 squirrels per year with no working scores 3 marks. Differentiating with respect to \(t\) instead of \(P\) is M0. A correct solution of the differential equation followed by a correct maximum also scores full marks.
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1 mark
A1 \(P = 250\)
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1 mark
A1 Greatest rate of increase = 50 squirrels per year
Units are not required. Giving 500 (the long-term population) is A0.