'The Watergate affair was the main reason why the USA did not help South Vietnam when it was attacked in 1975.'
How far do you agree with this statement?
Explain your answer.
[16 marks] [SPaG 4 marks]
Model answer
There is a strong case that Watergate was the main reason why the USA did not help South Vietnam in 1975. When the Paris Peace Accords were signed in January 1973, President Thieu agreed only after Nixon had secretly promised him 'swift and severe' retaliation if North Vietnam broke the agreement. Nixon had shown he was willing to use force, with the Christmas bombing of December 1972. But Watergate destroyed his authority. From May 1973 the Senate hearings were televised, in July the White House tapes were revealed, and after the 'Saturday Night Massacre' in October 1973 there was open talk of impeachment. A weakened Nixon could not stop Congress passing the Case-Church Amendment in June 1973, which banned any US military action in Indochina after 15 August, or the War Powers Act in November 1973, which was passed over his veto. When he resigned in August 1974, the man who had made the promises to Thieu was gone. His successor, Gerald Ford, had never been elected, lost support by pardoning Nixon, and faced a Congress with an even larger Democratic majority after the November 1974 elections. North Vietnam's leaders noticed: in January 1975 they captured Phuoc Long province to test the American response, and when none came they launched their final offensive.
However, Watergate was not the only reason. Most importantly, the American people were tired of the war. About 58,000 Americans had died, most Americans had believed for years that the war was a mistake, and once the prisoners of war came home in 1973 there was no public support for going back. Even a Nixon without Watergate would have found it very hard to persuade Congress and the public to renew the bombing. Congress's determination to limit the President's war powers also began before Watergate: the Senate voted to repeal the Gulf of Tonkin Resolution in 1970, and opposition in Congress had grown with Kent State and the Pentagon Papers.
Other factors also played a part. The Paris Peace Accords themselves left South Vietnam in a weak position, because they allowed North Vietnamese troops to stay in the South. Economic problems mattered too: the oil crisis of 1973 caused inflation in America, and Congress was unwilling to spend billions on a lost cause, cutting military aid to South Vietnam from about 2.3 billion dollars in 1973 to about 1 billion in 1974. Détente with China and the Soviet Union meant that Vietnam no longer seemed so important in the Cold War. Finally, many Americans believed that Thieu's government was corrupt and that South Vietnam could not survive even with American help; the speed of the collapse in March and April 1975, after the disastrous retreat from the Central Highlands, seemed to confirm this. When Ford asked Congress for about 722 million dollars of emergency aid in April 1975, it refused, and on 23 April he said the war was 'finished as far as America is concerned'.
Overall, I agree to some extent. Watergate was important because it removed the only President who was committed to intervening and gave Congress the opportunity to tie the President's hands. But the deeper reason was the war-weariness of the American people and their representatives, which existed before Watergate and would have made intervention very unlikely in any case. Watergate decided how and when America abandoned South Vietnam, but the decision to leave Vietnam for good had already been made by American public opinion.
Explanation
Watergate destroyed Nixon's authority, let Congress pass Case-Church and the War Powers Act, and removed the President who had promised to defend Thieu. But war-weariness, Congress's wish to reclaim its powers, the terms of the Paris Accords, economic problems and doubts about South Vietnam also mattered. Level 4 needs a sustained judgement weighing Watergate against these factors.